Athlone Town 2-1 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.44
6+ Goals
8%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 31% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.0pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.38/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.31
-9% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athlone Town
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Longford Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2026 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
06.04.2026 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
17.10.2025 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
23.06.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 3-2 HT 1-2 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
21.04.2025 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
01.03.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
POST-MATCH Athlone Town vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athlone Town nicked a narrow win over Longford Town 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Athlone Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Longford Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Athlone Town and 1.33 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Athlone Town vs Longford Town?

Athlone Town 2-1 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athlone Town vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athlone Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Athlone Town 38%, draw 24%, Longford Town 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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