FC Kuressaare 3-2 Harju Jalgpallikool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.67
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
34%
+9.7pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.2pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Kuressaare EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.56/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/2.07
-11% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
299 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Kuressaare
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.06.2026 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 2-3 HT 0-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
11.04.2026 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 3-2 HT 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
17.09.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
09.08.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-3 HT 1-3 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
29.06.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare EST1
16.03.2025 FC Kuressaare FC Kuressaare 1-2 HT 1-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Kuressaare
3-2
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
19 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FC Kuressaare vs Harju Jalgpallikool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Kuressaare edged past Harju Jalgpallikool 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Kuressaare as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 19-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Harju Jalgpallikool led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Kuressaare and 2.00 for Harju Jalgpallikool.

What was the final score of FC Kuressaare vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

FC Kuressaare 3-2 Harju Jalgpallikool in the Estonia - Premium League on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Kuressaare vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Kuressaare win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Kuressaare 43%, draw 20%, Harju Jalgpallikool 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Kuressaare), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Kuressaare) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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