Ceuta vs Malaga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ceuta v Malaga — Team-Based Signals
Ceuta vs Malaga Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Ceuta 2-1 Malaga — Actual Match Statistics
Ceuta squeezed past Malaga 2-1.
Our pre-match lean was Malaga at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, shots finished 7-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Malaga led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ceuta and 2.25 for Malaga.
What was the final score of Ceuta vs Malaga?
Ceuta 2-1 Malaga in the Friendlies on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ceuta vs Malaga?
Before kick-off our model rated an Malaga win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 34%, draw 25%, Malaga 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Malaga) went the other way.