Estoril 1-1 Famalicao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 7 Aug 2026

Estoril
1-1 HT 0-1
Famalicao
📅07/08/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Portugal - Premier League – 2026/2027

Estoril vs Famalicao Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
43%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.75
6+ Goals
9%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 31% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.25
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
10%
6.06
X/2
11%
5.41
X/X
12%
4.34
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
23%
3.55
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
43%
Away Win
38%
+5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estoril v Famalicao — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao EU Bookmakers 42%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.52/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.31
+51% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
18.0 Crosses 18.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9

Estoril vs Famalicao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Famalicao
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.73 xG 1.86
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
320 Passes 313
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.04.2026 Estoril Estoril 0-1 HT 0-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR
14.12.2025 Famalicao Famalicao 4-0 HT 2-0 Estoril Estoril POR
22.11.2025 Estoril Estoril 1-2 HT 0-1 Famalicao Famalicao POK
12.04.2025 Famalicao Famalicao 3-0 HT 0-0 Estoril Estoril POR
01.12.2024 Estoril Estoril 2-1 HT 2-1 Famalicao Famalicao POR
28.04.2024 Estoril Estoril 1-0 HT 1-0 Famalicao Famalicao POR

Estoril 1-1 Famalicao — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril
1-1
AWAY Famalicao
1.06 xG 1.47
14 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
360 Passes 362
31 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estoril vs Famalicao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril and Famalicao couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Famalicao at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.06 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Famalicao led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Estoril and 1.83 for Famalicao.

What was the final score of Estoril vs Famalicao?

Estoril 1-1 Famalicao in the Portugal - Premier League on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril vs Famalicao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Estoril 32%, draw 25%, Famalicao 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Famalicao) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Famalicao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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