Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Chelsea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 8 Feb 2025

Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 HT 1-1
Chelsea
📅08/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2024/2025

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
30%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.71
6+ Goals
11%
7.12
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.71 — our 26% vs market 15.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.88
1/2
5%
22.55
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
17%
6.42
X/2
11%
5.68
X/X
11%
5.6
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
14%
3.21
2/X
5%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
35%
+11.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
30%
Away Win
40%
-9.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.3pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brighton & Hove Albion v Chelsea — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea EU Bookmakers 43%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.44/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.51
-25% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 84%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
20.4 Crosses 13.5
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Chelsea
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.62 xG 1.89
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
494 Passes 342
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
38 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.09.2024 Chelsea Chelsea 4-2 HT 4-2 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
15.05.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-2 HT 0-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
03.12.2023 Chelsea Chelsea 3-2 HT 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
27.09.2023 Chelsea Chelsea 1-0 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNLK
23.07.2023 Chelsea Chelsea 4-3 HT 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion HAZPL
15.04.2023 Chelsea Chelsea 1-2 HT 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP

Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Chelsea — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1
AWAY Chelsea
0.55 xG 0.79
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
358 Passes 495
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion nicked a narrow win over Chelsea 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Brighton & Hove Albion as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion had 43% of the ball to Chelsea's 57%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 0.55 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 2.50 for Chelsea.

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea?

Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Chelsea in the England - FA Cup on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brighton & Hove Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion 47%, draw 23%, Chelsea 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion)
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