Lobos UPNFM 0-1 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 8 Feb 2026

📅08/02/2026 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
50%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.8pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.6pp
50%
Away Win
44%
+6.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lobos UPNFM EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 48%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -23%
0.84/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.75
-23% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +54%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lobos UPNFM
0W-0D-6L
AWAY CD Olimpia
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
06.10.2025 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 1-2 HT 1-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
27.07.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-0 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
06.03.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-0 HT 1-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
19.01.2025 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
10.11.2024 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM 0-2 HT 0-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
14.09.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-1 HT 2-0 Lobos UPNFM Lobos UPNFM HON
POST-MATCH Lobos UPNFM vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Olimpia edged past Lobos UPNFM 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had CD Olimpia as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lobos UPNFM and 2.00 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of Lobos UPNFM vs CD Olimpia?

Lobos UPNFM 0-1 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lobos UPNFM vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lobos UPNFM 26%, draw 24%, CD Olimpia 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Olimpia) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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