Motagua 1-1 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 8 Feb 2026

📅08/02/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
64%
-0.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.1pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motagua EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +10%
2.06/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.84
+7% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
406 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motagua
5W-1D-0L
AWAY CD Victoria
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.11.2025 Motagua Motagua 2-1 HT 2-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
23.08.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
04.05.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-1 HT 1-0 Motagua Motagua HON
02.03.2025 Motagua Motagua 2-1 HT 1-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
01.12.2024 Motagua Motagua 5-2 HT 3-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
23.09.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-3 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
POST-MATCH Motagua vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua and CD Victoria couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Motagua carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motagua had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Motagua and 1.00 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of Motagua vs CD Victoria?

Motagua 1-1 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 08/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motagua vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Motagua 63%, draw 22%, CD Victoria 16%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Motagua) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
8 Feb 2026
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