Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza v Fuerte San Francisco — Team-Based Signals
Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Alianza squeezed past Fuerte San Francisco 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alianza and 0.33 for Fuerte San Francisco.
What was the final score of Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Alianza 3-2 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Alianza 64%, draw 22%, Fuerte San Francisco 14%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.