Alianza 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 19 May 2025

📅19/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.4pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.86/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.42
+9% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
16.05.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
24.04.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
27.02.2025 Alianza Alianza 2-0 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
01.11.2024 Alianza Alianza 2-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
20.09.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-2 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
28.04.2024 Alianza Alianza 3-1 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza beat Fuerte San Francisco 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Alianza and 0.33 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Alianza 2-0 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 19/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Alianza 54%, draw 25%, Fuerte San Francisco 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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