Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 Alianza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.6pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.4pp
48%
Away Win
52%
-3.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.7pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza EU Bookmakers 56%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -26%
0.76/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.93
-16% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -8%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
256 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuerte San Francisco
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Alianza
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
24.04.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
27.02.2025 Alianza Alianza 2-0 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
01.11.2024 Alianza Alianza 2-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
20.09.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-2 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
28.04.2024 Alianza Alianza 3-1 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
11.03.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza nicked a narrow win over Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fuerte San Francisco and 1.50 for Alianza.

What was the final score of Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza?

Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 Alianza in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuerte San Francisco vs Alianza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fuerte San Francisco 28%, draw 23%, Alianza 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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