Alianza 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 15 Sep 2025

📅15/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.33
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.53
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-8.6pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.1pp
15%
Away Win
9%
+5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.4pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco EU Bookmakers 12%
-6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.83/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.64
+1% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
412 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Fuerte San Francisco
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
19.05.2025 Alianza Alianza 2-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
16.05.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
24.04.2025 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 1-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
27.02.2025 Alianza Alianza 2-0 HT 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
01.11.2024 Alianza Alianza 2-0 HT 0-0 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco ELSAL
20.09.2024 Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco 0-2 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza squeezed past Fuerte San Francisco 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alianza as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alianza and 0.17 for Fuerte San Francisco.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Alianza 1-0 Fuerte San Francisco in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Fuerte San Francisco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Alianza 62%, draw 23%, Fuerte San Francisco 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ELSAL More El Salvador - Primera Liga
15 Sep 2025
00:00 Cacahuatique vs Municipal Limeno Analysis →
00:15 Platense vs FAS Analysis →