FS Jelgava 2-1 FK Tukums 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -20%
1.17/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.61
-12% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
22.0 Crosses 22.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FS Jelgava
1W-5D-0L
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.05 xG 1.25
49% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
253 Passes 277
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-1 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
23.08.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-1 HT 1-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
17.06.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-1 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
23.04.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-1 HT 0-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
15.09.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 3-3 HT 3-1 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
26.06.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FS Jelgava
2-1
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
1.01 xG 1.01
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
261 Passes 334
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FS Jelgava vs FK Tukums 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FS Jelgava edged past FK Tukums 2000 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FS Jelgava as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, FS Jelgava had 46% of the ball to FK Tukums 2000's 54%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.01 to 1.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FS Jelgava had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FS Jelgava and 1.17 for FK Tukums 2000.

What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs FK Tukums 2000?

FS Jelgava 2-1 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs FK Tukums 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated a FS Jelgava win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 46%, draw 23%, FK Tukums 2000 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FS Jelgava), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FS Jelgava) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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