CSKA Moskova 1-4 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.99
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
2.93
6+ Goals
10%
9.06
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.99 — our 27% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.18
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.15
X/1
15%
5.46
X/2
9%
6.45
X/X
10%
5.08
2/1
9%
23.95
2/2
15%
4.12
2/X
8%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
41%
+4.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+11.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-11.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +6%
1.39/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.54
-11% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
16.9 Crosses 15.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.23 xG 1.60
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
294 Passes 395
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.02.2026 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow HAZ
17.08.2025 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-3 HT 0-3 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
16.04.2025 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
06.04.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 3-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
12.03.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
06.10.2024 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-2 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Moskova
1-4
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 9
453 Passes 332
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs Dinamo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Moscow swept aside CSKA Moskova 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA Moskova at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, CSKA Moskova had 56% of the ball to Dinamo Moscow's 44%, shots finished 13-24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for CSKA Moskova and 0.83 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Dinamo Moscow?

CSKA Moskova 1-4 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 46%, draw 25%, Dinamo Moscow 30%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CSKA Moskova), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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