Rubin Kazan 2-1 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.65
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
52%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.19
No
49%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.33
2-3 Goals
47%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.75
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
8.85
1/2
9%
28.5
1/X
7%
18.2
X/1
4%
9.58
X/2
18%
3.82
X/X
14%
4.21
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
25%
2.22
2/X
6%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
19%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
52%
Away Win
55%
-3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+9.0pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 59%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +19%
0.99/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.16
-36% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
12.7 Crosses 13.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rubin Kazan
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Krasnodar
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.00 xG 1.36
42% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
225 Passes 357
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-0 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
03.05.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-1 HT 2-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
10.11.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-1 HT 1-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
02.03.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-1 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
30.09.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-2 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
09.04.2022 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-1 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rubin Kazan
2-1
AWAY Krasnodar
0.90 xG 1.50
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
218 Passes 456
63% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 20
7 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Rubin Kazan vs Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rubin Kazan edged past Krasnodar 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Krasnodar at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Rubin Kazan had 37% of the ball to Krasnodar's 63%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.90 to 1.50 — the balance of chances actually favoured Krasnodar.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rubin Kazan and 1.33 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of Rubin Kazan vs Krasnodar?

Rubin Kazan 2-1 Krasnodar in the Russia - Premier League on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rubin Kazan vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Rubin Kazan 21%, draw 27%, Krasnodar 52%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Krasnodar), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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