Al Wakrah 3-3 Al Gharafa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 8 Apr 2026

📅08/04/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.76
6+ Goals
10%
7.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.4pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.1pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.8pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wakrah EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +17%
2.01/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.69
+1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
275 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 81%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
20.0 Crosses 15.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wakrah
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Gharafa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.48 xG 1.57
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
341 Passes 267
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 2-3 HT 1-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KATYK
21.11.2025 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
11.04.2025 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
22.11.2024 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KAT
06.09.2024 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah KATYK
24.04.2024 Al Wakrah Al Wakrah 2-4 HT 0-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wakrah
3-3
AWAY Al Gharafa
3.04 xG 1.18
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
402 Passes 249
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Wakrah vs Al Gharafa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wakrah and Al Gharafa couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Wakrah at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Al Wakrah had 59% of the ball to Al Gharafa's 41%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 3.04 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Gharafa led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Wakrah and 2.00 for Al Gharafa.

What was the final score of Al Wakrah vs Al Gharafa?

Al Wakrah 3-3 Al Gharafa in the Qatar League on 08/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wakrah vs Al Gharafa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wakrah win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Wakrah 45%, draw 21%, Al Gharafa 35%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Wakrah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Wakrah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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