Al Rayyan 3-0 Umm Salal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 8 Apr 2026

📅08/04/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.45
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.17
Over 2.5
58%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.38
2-3 Goals
39%
2.22
4-5 Goals
27%
2.29
6+ Goals
13%
3.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
64%
-4.6pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.1pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+4.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
28%
+13.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
72%
-13.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.7pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.97/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.13
-2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 78%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
22.8 Crosses 12.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Rayyan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Umm Salal
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.61 xG 1.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
444 Passes 217
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
37 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.03.2026 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 3-3 HT 1-2 Umm Salal Umm Salal KATYK
22.11.2025 Umm Salal Umm Salal 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
10.01.2025 Umm Salal Umm Salal 2-6 HT 2-1 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
16.11.2024 Umm Salal Umm Salal 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KATYK
09.08.2024 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 3-1 HT 0-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
12.03.2024 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 2-2 HT 0-1 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Rayyan
3-0
AWAY Umm Salal
2.77 xG 0.42
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
489 Passes 219
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Rayyan vs Umm Salal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Rayyan ran out comfortable winners over Umm Salal 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Rayyan as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Al Rayyan had 66% of the ball to Umm Salal's 34%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.77 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Rayyan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Al Rayyan and 1.83 for Umm Salal.

What was the final score of Al Rayyan vs Umm Salal?

Al Rayyan 3-0 Umm Salal in the Qatar League on 08/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Rayyan vs Umm Salal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Rayyan win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Al Rayyan 60%, draw 18%, Umm Salal 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Rayyan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Rayyan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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