Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aarau v Stade Nyonnais — Team-Based Signals
Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Aarau 5-1 Stade Nyonnais — Actual Match Statistics
Aarau cruised past Stade Nyonnais 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aarau as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Aarau had 36% of the ball to Stade Nyonnais's 64%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 1.32 to 0.91.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Aarau and 1.33 for Stade Nyonnais.
What was the final score of Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?
Aarau 5-1 Stade Nyonnais in the Switzerland Challenge League on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Aarau 69%, draw 14%, Stade Nyonnais 17%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.