BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BFC Daugavpils v Riga FC — Team-Based Signals
BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
BFC Daugavpils 1-3 Riga FC — Actual Match Statistics
Riga FC saw off BFC Daugavpils 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 41% of the ball to Riga FC's 59%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.42 to 1.77.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 2.17 for Riga FC.
What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC?
BFC Daugavpils 1-3 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC?
Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 13%, draw 17%, Riga FC 70%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.