BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BFC Daugavpils v Riga FC — Team-Based Signals
BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
BFC Daugavpils 0-1 Riga FC — Actual Match Statistics
Riga FC squeezed past BFC Daugavpils 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 44% of the ball to Riga FC's 56%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.79 to 2.50 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Riga FC's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 1.83 for Riga FC.
What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC?
BFC Daugavpils 0-1 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs Riga FC?
Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 14%, draw 14%, Riga FC 72%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.