Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Riga FC v BFC Daugavpils — Team-Based Signals
Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Riga FC 4-2 BFC Daugavpils — Actual Match Statistics
Riga FC saw off BFC Daugavpils 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 81%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, Riga FC had 68% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 32%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 3.84 to 0.73.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Riga FC and 0.50 for BFC Daugavpils.
What was the final score of Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils?
Riga FC 4-2 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils?
Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 81%, draw 12%, BFC Daugavpils 7%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.