Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sacramento Republic v FC Tulsa — Team-Based Signals
Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Sacramento Republic
USLP
2-1
HT 1-1
FC Tulsa
USLP
1-1
HT 1-0
FC Tulsa
USLP
Sacramento Republic 0-1 FC Tulsa — Actual Match Statistics
FC Tulsa nicked a narrow win over Sacramento Republic 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Sacramento Republic at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Sacramento Republic had 68% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 32%, shots finished 6-6, expected goals 0.48 to 0.72.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sacramento Republic and 0.83 for FC Tulsa.
What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa?
Sacramento Republic 0-1 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 08/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sacramento Republic 43%, draw 29%, FC Tulsa 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sacramento Republic) went the other way.