Hamilton 1-0 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.11
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 29% vs market 25.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+2.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 22%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +21%
1.75/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.47
-5% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 185 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
11.04.2026 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
21.02.2026 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 3-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
20.12.2025 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
23.08.2025 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
11.05.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 3-2 HT 2-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
07.05.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-2 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton edged past Alloa Athletic 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hamilton as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamilton had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hamilton and 1.33 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Alloa Athletic?

Hamilton 1-0 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 51%, draw 28%, Alloa Athletic 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamilton), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hamilton) ✓ Under 2.5
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