Hamilton 1-0 Alloa Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.15
6+ Goals
12%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 29% vs market 22.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 43%
+21% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.29/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.32
-5% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
228 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Alloa Athletic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
21.02.2026 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 3-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
20.12.2025 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
23.08.2025 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
11.05.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 3-2 HT 2-1 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
07.05.2024 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 2-2 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
24.02.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 1-2 HT 0-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Alloa Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton nicked a narrow win over Alloa Athletic 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Hamilton made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alloa Athletic led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hamilton and 1.67 for Alloa Athletic.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Alloa Athletic?

Hamilton 1-0 Alloa Athletic in the Scotland - 1st Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Alloa Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alloa Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 33%, draw 29%, Alloa Athletic 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alloa Athletic), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alloa Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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