Stenhousemuir 1-1 Inverness CT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.52
2-3 Goals
33%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
4.13
6+ Goals
7%
20.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.52 — our 39% vs market 31.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.6pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 49%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.03/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.12
-9% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +6%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
260 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Inverness CT
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
21.02.2026 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-1 HT 1-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
27.01.2026 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-0 HT 0-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İKCK
20.12.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-0 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
16.08.2025 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-2 HT 1-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
19.04.2025 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 1-1 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İK1
11.03.2025 Inverness CT Inverness CT 4-1 HT 2-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK1
POST-MATCH Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir and Inverness CT couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Inverness CT at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stenhousemuir and 1.33 for Inverness CT.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?

Stenhousemuir 1-1 Inverness CT in the Scotland - 1st Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inverness CT win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 27%, draw 30%, Inverness CT 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Inverness CT), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inverness CT) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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