Hartberg vs Sturm Graz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hartberg v Sturm Graz — Team-Based Signals
Hartberg vs Sturm Graz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hartberg 0-2 Sturm Graz — Actual Match Statistics
Sturm Graz got the better of Hartberg 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sturm Graz as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 6-20, expected goals 0.28 to 1.48.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hartberg and 1.67 for Sturm Graz.
What was the final score of Hartberg vs Sturm Graz?
Hartberg 0-2 Sturm Graz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Sturm Graz?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 25%, draw 25%, Sturm Graz 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.