Sturm Graz 0-0 Hartberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.74
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.05
6+ Goals
9%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.03
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
23%
4.14
X/2
6%
10.15
X/X
13%
5.66
2/1
8%
21.4
2/2
7%
7.99
2/X
6%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-3.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartberg EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +20%
2.13/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.72
+25% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 69%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
19.6 Crosses 11.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Hartberg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.60 xG 1.19
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 Passes 297
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2025 Hartberg Hartberg 0-1 HT 0-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
28.09.2025 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1-0 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
09.11.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-2 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
11.08.2024 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 2-0 HT 1-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
05.05.2024 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1-1 HT 0-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
14.04.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 1-3 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz
0-0
AWAY Hartberg
1.42 xG 0.75
61% Ball Possession 39%
24 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 8
366 Passes 188
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
31 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz vs Hartberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz and Hartberg fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Sturm Graz carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sturm Graz had 61% of the ball to Hartberg's 39%, shots finished 24-17, expected goals 1.42 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sturm Graz and 0.50 for Hartberg.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Hartberg?

Sturm Graz 0-0 Hartberg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Hartberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 55%, draw 25%, Hartberg 20%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sturm Graz) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2026
18:00 Austria Wien vs Rapid Wien Analysis →