Austria Wien 1-1 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.67
Over 2.5
54%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.82
No
41%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.63
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
4.13
6+ Goals
13%
20.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.13 — our 25% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.82
1/2
9%
33.0
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
12%
5.57
X/2
7%
5.84
X/X
16%
3.89
2/1
12%
31.5
2/2
13%
4.1
2/X
8%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.1pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.5pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
56%
-10.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
44%
+10.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.8pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -18%
1.74/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.52
+25% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
310 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
22.1 Crosses 18.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Wien
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.42 xG 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
276 Passes 289
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2026 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-0 HT 2-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
28.09.2025 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-3 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
11.05.2025 Austria Wien Austria Wien 1-2 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
13.04.2025 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-0 HT 1-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
16.02.2025 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-1 HT 1-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
22.09.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-1 HT 1-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Wien
1-1
AWAY Rapid Wien
0.78 xG 1.03
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
191 Passes 534
72% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Austria Wien vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Wien and Rapid Wien shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Austria Wien had 33% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 67%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 0.78 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Austria Wien and 1.33 for Rapid Wien.

What was the final score of Austria Wien vs Rapid Wien?

Austria Wien 1-1 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Wien vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 38%, draw 32%, Rapid Wien 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Austria Wien), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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