Austria Wien 2-0 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.1
6+ Goals
9%
19.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 34% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.76
1/2
9%
32.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
8%
5.45
X/2
11%
5.8
X/X
21%
4.14
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
14%
4.14
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.8pp
35%
Draw
29%
+6.5pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -17%
1.67/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.63
+28% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
22.6 Crosses 17.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Wien
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.50 xG 1.81
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
294 Passes 258
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-3 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
11.05.2025 Austria Wien Austria Wien 1-2 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
13.04.2025 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-0 HT 1-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
16.02.2025 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-1 HT 1-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
22.09.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-1 HT 1-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
25.02.2024 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-0 HT 3-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Wien
2-0
AWAY Rapid Wien
0.97 xG 0.14
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
240 Passes 402
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Austria Wien vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Wien beat Rapid Wien 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 35% / 33% — and on the day Austria Wien made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Austria Wien had 40% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 60%, shots finished 8-3, expected goals 0.97 to 0.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rapid Wien led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Austria Wien and 1.83 for Rapid Wien.

What was the final score of Austria Wien vs Rapid Wien?

Austria Wien 2-0 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Wien vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 31%, draw 35%, Rapid Wien 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2026
16:30 Grazer AK vs Salzburg Analysis →
16:30 Blau-Weiss Linz vs Wolfsberger AC Analysis →