Hartberg vs Sturm Graz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hartberg v Sturm Graz — Team-Based Signals
Hartberg vs Sturm Graz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hartberg 2-4 Sturm Graz — Actual Match Statistics
Sturm Graz got the better of Hartberg 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sturm Graz as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Hartberg had 55% of the ball to Sturm Graz's 45%, shots finished 13-26, expected goals 1.30 to 1.79.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Hartberg and 1.17 for Sturm Graz.
What was the final score of Hartberg vs Sturm Graz?
Hartberg 2-4 Sturm Graz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Sturm Graz?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 25%, draw 22%, Sturm Graz 54%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.