LASK Linz 2-1 Salzburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
28%
2.65
6+ Goals
12%
6.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.88
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
8%
12.0
X/1
18%
5.39
X/2
13%
6.97
X/X
8%
5.64
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.4
2/2
14%
4.29
2/X
8%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.4 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.4pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Salzburg EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +31%
1.97/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.44
+21% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / +77%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
296 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 74%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
22.3 Crosses 13.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LASK Linz
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Salzburg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.31 xG 1.70
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
270 Passes 457
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 36
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.04.2026 Salzburg Salzburg 2-3 HT 1-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
22.02.2026 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-5 HT 1-3 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
23.08.2025 Salzburg Salzburg 3-0 HT 2-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
02.02.2025 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-1 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVK
23.11.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 1-2 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
17.08.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-1 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LASK Linz
2-1
AWAY Salzburg
1.03 xG 1.34
31% Ball Possession 69%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
173 Passes 454
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH LASK Linz vs Salzburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LASK Linz edged past Salzburg 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had LASK Linz as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, LASK Linz had 31% of the ball to Salzburg's 69%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.03 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for LASK Linz and 2.17 for Salzburg.

What was the final score of LASK Linz vs Salzburg?

LASK Linz 2-1 Salzburg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LASK Linz vs Salzburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split LASK Linz 43%, draw 24%, Salzburg 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (LASK Linz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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