Salzburg 2-3 LASK Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 10 Apr 2026

📅10/04/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
21%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.69
2-3 Goals
32%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
2.7
6+ Goals
14%
7.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.41
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
18%
4.79
X/2
8%
8.17
X/X
12%
5.8
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.4
2/2
8%
5.49
2/X
6%
13.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.4 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
50%
+6.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
21%
Away Win
26%
-4.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.2pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.99/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.76
+8% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
20.9 Crosses 17.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
4W-0D-2L
AWAY LASK Linz
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.13 xG 1.10
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
417 Passes 288
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
39 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2026 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-5 HT 1-3 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
23.08.2025 Salzburg Salzburg 3-0 HT 2-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
02.02.2025 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-1 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVK
23.11.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 1-2 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
17.08.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-1 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
19.05.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 7-1 HT 3-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg
2-3
AWAY LASK Linz
1.00 xG 1.79
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
476 Passes 193
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs LASK Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LASK Linz edged past Salzburg 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Salzburg carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Salzburg had 66% of the ball to LASK Linz's 34%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 1.00 to 1.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Salzburg and 1.00 for LASK Linz.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs LASK Linz?

Salzburg 2-3 LASK Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 10/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs LASK Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 56%, draw 23%, LASK Linz 21%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Salzburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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