Atletico Ottawa 2-1 HFX Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
4.05
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.9pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 33%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.96/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.33
+14% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
429 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 82%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
12.8 Crosses 15.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Ottawa
4W-1D-1L
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.39 xG 1.58
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
443 Passes 358
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.07.2026 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-3 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
17.05.2026 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 1-0 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
18.10.2025 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
19.07.2025 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-0 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
24.05.2025 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
05.04.2025 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 2-2 HT 0-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Ottawa
2-1
AWAY HFX Wanderers
2.55 xG 1.04
17 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
499 Passes 288
28 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa squeezed past HFX Wanderers 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Ottawa as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 2.55 to 1.04 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Atletico Ottawa's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Ottawa had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 0.83 for HFX Wanderers.

What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers?

Atletico Ottawa 2-1 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs HFX Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Ottawa win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 47%, draw 27%, HFX Wanderers 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Ottawa), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Ottawa) ✓ BTTS Yes
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