BFC Daugavpils 2-0 FK Tukums 2000 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 23%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.98/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.60
+14% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
19.2 Crosses 19.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BFC Daugavpils
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.27 xG 0.91
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
336 Passes 262
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.06.2026 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-1 HT 0-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
21.04.2026 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-1 HT 0-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
30.08.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-1 HT 0-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
21.06.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-2 HT 0-2 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
30.04.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-0 HT 0-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
07.03.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 3-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BFC Daugavpils
2-0
AWAY FK Tukums 2000
1.06 xG 1.02
15 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
446 Passes 207
35 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH BFC Daugavpils vs FK Tukums 2000
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFC Daugavpils saw off FK Tukums 2000 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had BFC Daugavpils as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.06 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 0.67 for FK Tukums 2000.

What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs FK Tukums 2000?

BFC Daugavpils 2-0 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs FK Tukums 2000?

Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 51%, draw 24%, FK Tukums 2000 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFC Daugavpils) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BFC Daugavpils) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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