FK Tukums 2000 1-1 BFC Daugavpils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 12 Jun 2026

📅12/06/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -26%
1.44/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.37
+13% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
18.7 Crosses 19.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
1W-3D-2L
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 1.04
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
266 Passes 300
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2026 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-1 HT 0-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
30.08.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-1 HT 0-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
21.06.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-2 HT 0-2 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
30.04.2025 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-0 HT 0-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
07.03.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 3-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
21.09.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-0 HT 0-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
1-1
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
0.85 xG 1.70
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
276 Passes 448
22 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Tukums 2000 and BFC Daugavpils couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FK Tukums 2000 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 39% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 61%, shots finished 16-21, expected goals 0.85 to 1.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 1.00 for BFC Daugavpils.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils?

FK Tukums 2000 1-1 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 12/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Tukums 2000 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 41%, draw 26%, BFC Daugavpils 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Tukums 2000) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Tukums 2000) ✓ BTTS Yes
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