Liepaja vs Super Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liepaja v Super Nova — Team-Based Signals
Liepaja vs Super Nova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Super Nova
LET
Liepaja 2-1 Super Nova — Actual Match Statistics
Liepaja squeezed past Super Nova 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Liepaja as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Liepaja had 50% of the ball to Super Nova's 50%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.84 to 0.73.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liepaja had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Liepaja and 1.67 for Super Nova.
What was the final score of Liepaja vs Super Nova?
Liepaja 2-1 Super Nova in the Latvia - Virsliga on 12/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Super Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Liepaja win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 64%, draw 19%, Super Nova 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liepaja), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.