Kauno Zalgiris 2-0 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.86
Over 2.5
56%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.13
No
46%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-6.4pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.6pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+5.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
43%
+11.2pp
46%
BTTS No
57%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 16%
-24% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.68/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.80
-18% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -27%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
405 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.06.2026 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
11.04.2026 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 5-0 HT 3-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
01.10.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
27.08.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
19.06.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-2 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
16.04.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
2-0
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
13 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris saw off Hegelmann Litauen 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 13-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 0.83 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Kauno Zalgiris 2-0 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 59%, draw 22%, Hegelmann Litauen 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →