Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 14 Jun 2026

📅14/06/2026 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.91
Draw
30%
4.19
Away
53%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.95
No
43%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
14%
+3.0pp
30%
Draw
20%
+10.0pp
53%
Away Win
66%
-13.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.5pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 70%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -6%
1.36/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.00
+37% / +138% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -14%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
261 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.04.2026 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 5-0 HT 3-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
01.10.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
27.08.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
19.06.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-2 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
16.04.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
24.08.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
1-1
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hegelmann Litauen and Kauno Zalgiris shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Kauno Zalgiris at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hegelmann Litauen had 43% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris's 57%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 2.33 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 14/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 17%, draw 30%, Kauno Zalgiris 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ BTTS Yes
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