Viking 2-1 Sarpsborg 08 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.98
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
7.22
2-3 Goals
36%
2.23
4-5 Goals
27%
2.38
6+ Goals
15%
4.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.65
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.2
X/1
21%
4.34
X/2
4%
14.35
X/X
10%
8.56
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
17.45
2/2
6%
10.05
2/X
4%
18.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.45 — our 10% vs market 3.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
66%
+0.6pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.2pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-0.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.9pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viking EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 19%
+4% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +21%
2.29/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.93
+21% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
37.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
27.0 Crosses 15.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viking
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.37 xG 1.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
381 Passes 343
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 23
30 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.07.2026 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-0 HT 1-0 Viking Viking NOR
27.09.2025 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 3-3 HT 1-3 Viking Viking NOR
09.07.2025 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-0 HT 0-0 Viking Viking NOK
04.05.2025 Viking Viking 0-0 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
27.10.2024 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-2 HT 1-1 Viking Viking NOR
01.04.2024 Viking Viking 1-0 HT 1-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viking
2-1
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
2.83 xG 2.57
17 Total Shots 25
8 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 8
342 Passes 346
34 Box Touches 42
38 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Viking vs Sarpsborg 08
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viking squeezed past Sarpsborg 08 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Viking as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 17-25, expected goals 2.83 to 2.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Viking and 1.00 for Sarpsborg 08.

What was the final score of Viking vs Sarpsborg 08?

Viking 2-1 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viking vs Sarpsborg 08?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Viking 67%, draw 19%, Sarpsborg 08 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viking), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viking) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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