Korona Kielce 1-1 Legia Varşova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 8 Aug 2026

📅08/08/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.72
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.9
6+ Goals
10%
18.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.71
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
5%
13.85
X/1
12%
6.34
X/2
18%
5.02
X/X
14%
4.27
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.29
2/X
5%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -13%
1.30/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.18
+1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
257 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 79%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
20.3 Crosses 22.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Korona Kielce
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Legia Varşova
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.49 xG 1.78
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
279 Passes 343
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 34
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.02.2026 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-2 HT 0-1 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
27.07.2025 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-2 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
02.02.2025 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-1 HT 1-1 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
28.07.2024 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-1 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
25.02.2024 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 3-3 HT 1-2 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
06.12.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-1 HT 1-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Korona Kielce
1-1
AWAY Legia Varşova
0.73 xG 0.69
14 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
465 Passes 276
18 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Korona Kielce vs Legia Varşova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Korona Kielce and Legia Varşova shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Legia Varşova at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 0.73 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Korona Kielce and 1.50 for Legia Varşova.

What was the final score of Korona Kielce vs Legia Varşova?

Korona Kielce 1-1 Legia Varşova in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 08/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Korona Kielce vs Legia Varşova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Korona Kielce 35%, draw 25%, Legia Varşova 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Legia Varşova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✓ Under 2.5
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