İsveç 3-0 Estonya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Uluslar League, 8 Sep 2024

İsveç
3-0 HT 3-0
Estonya
📅08/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
UEFA Uluslar League – 2024/2025

İsveç vs Estonya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.16
Draw
23%
7.13
Away
26%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
2.59
Over
48%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.51
No Pick
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
32%
5.69
2-3
35%
2.02
4-5
22%
2.62
6+
11%
6.17
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.69 — our 32% vs market 13.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.22
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
34.5
X/1
13%
3.34
X/2
7%
34.5
X/X
10%
11.45
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2 ✗
12%
34.5
2/X
6%
34.5
Value flag · 2/2 at 34.5 — our 12% vs market 0.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
82%
-31.5pp
23%
Draw
12%
+11.7pp
26%
Away Win
6%
+19.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
35%
+16.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
65%
-16.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.1pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İsveç v Estonya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İsveç EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Estonya EU Bookmakers 8%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +127%
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
507 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.3
– Crosses 13.9
– Yellow Cards 1.6

İsveç vs Estonya Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İsveç
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Estonya
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
2.43 xG 0.35
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
493 Passes 213
86% Pass Accuracy 69%
31 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.01.2024 İsveç İsveç 2-1 HT 1-1 Estonya Estonya HAZ
19.11.2023 İsveç İsveç 2-0 HT 1-0 Estonya Estonya AVŞE
09.09.2023 Estonya Estonya 0-5 HT 0-3 İsveç İsveç AVŞE
31.03.2021 İsveç İsveç 1-0 HT 1-0 Estonya Estonya HAZ
04.09.2014 İsveç İsveç 2-0 HT 2-0 Estonya Estonya HAZ

İsveç 3-0 Estonya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İsveç
3-0
AWAY Estonya
3.48 xG 0.95
73% Ball Possession 27%
34 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 1
505 Passes 123
85% Pass Accuracy 56%
95 Box Touches 4
27 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İsveç vs Estonya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İsveç ran out comfortable winners over Estonya 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İsveç as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, İsveç had 73% of the ball to Estonya's 27%, shots finished 34-5, expected goals 3.48 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, İsveç had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for İsveç and 0.20 for Estonya.

What was the final score of İsveç vs Estonya?

İsveç 3-0 Estonya in the UEFA Uluslar League on 08/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İsveç vs Estonya?

Before kick-off our model rated a İsveç win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split İsveç 51%, draw 23%, Estonya 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İsveç), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İsveç) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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