Notts County 0-2 Northampton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 8 Oct 2024

Notts County
0-2 HT 0-1
Northampton Town
📅08/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Futbol League Cup – 2024/2025

Notts County vs Northampton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
2.23
Over
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
26%
4.6
2-3
39%
1.9
4-5
24%
2.87
6+
11%
8.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.4pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.4pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.0pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Notts County v Northampton Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notts County EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 43%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-38% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Notts County vs Northampton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notts County
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Northampton Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.00 xG 1.68
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
274 Passes 165
70% Pass Accuracy 58%
25 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
01.12.2019 Northampton Town Northampton Town 3-1 HT 2-0 Notts County Notts County FAK
06.04.2019 Notts County Notts County 2-2 HT 1-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN2
22.09.2018 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Notts County Notts County İN2
02.04.2016 Northampton Town Northampton Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Notts County Notts County İN2
21.11.2015 Notts County Notts County 1-2 HT 0-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN2
10.04.2010 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Notts County Notts County İN2

Notts County 0-2 Northampton Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Notts County
0-2
AWAY Northampton Town
0.82 xG 1.04
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
449 Passes 361
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Notts County vs Northampton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northampton Town beat Notts County 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Northampton Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Notts County had 55% of the ball to Northampton Town's 45%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.82 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Northampton Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Notts County and 1.50 for Northampton Town.

What was the final score of Notts County vs Northampton Town?

Notts County 0-2 Northampton Town in the England - Futbol League Cup on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notts County vs Northampton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Notts County 36%, draw 30%, Northampton Town 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Notts County), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Notts County) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNTK More England - Futbol League Cup
8 Oct 2024
21:00 Tranmere Rovers vs Accrington Stanley Analysis →
21:00 Carlisle United vs Wigan Athletic Analysis →
21:00 Morecambe vs Nottingham Forest U21 Analysis →
21:00 Fleetwood Town vs Barrow Analysis →
21:00 Rotherham United vs Newcastle United U21 Analysis →
21:00 Peterborough United vs Stevenage Analysis →