Wrexham 3-0 Wolverhampton U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 8 Oct 2024

📅08/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.29
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.96
Over
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
19%
7.03
2-3
42%
2.2
4-5
29%
2.46
6+
10%
4.81
Value flag · 0-1 at 7.03 — our 19% vs market 10.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Wrexham win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-11.8pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.8pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+9.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wrexham EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton U21 EU Bookmakers 14%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.27/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/2.11
-34% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
406 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.7
14.2 Crosses 5.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wrexham
3-0
AWAY Wolverhampton U21
1.65 xG 0.46
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
488 Passes 382
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
29 Box Touches 5
34 Crosses 6
POST-MATCH Wrexham vs Wolverhampton U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wrexham swept aside Wolverhampton U21 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wrexham as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Wrexham had 57% of the ball to Wolverhampton U21's 43%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.65 to 0.46.

What was the final score of Wrexham vs Wolverhampton U21?

Wrexham 3-0 Wolverhampton U21 in the England - Futbol League Cup on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wrexham vs Wolverhampton U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wrexham win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Wrexham 61%, draw 18%, Wolverhampton U21 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wrexham), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wrexham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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