Komorlar 1-2 Madagaskar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 8 Oct 2025

📅08/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.15
2-3 Goals
36%
1.75
4-5 Goals
15%
5.2
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.15 — our 41% vs market 38.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
23%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-6.9pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.2pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.2pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Komorlar EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Madagaskar EU Bookmakers 32%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
4.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.00
+150% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Komorlar
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Madagaskar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.48 xG 0.95
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
324 Passes 354
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2025 Madagaskar Madagaskar 0-1 HT 0-0 Komorlar Komorlar CAFCOS
18.11.2024 Komorlar Komorlar 1-0 HT 0-0 Madagaskar Madagaskar AFUK
09.09.2024 Madagaskar Madagaskar 1-1 HT 1-1 Komorlar Komorlar AFUK
07.06.2024 Madagaskar Madagaskar 2-1 HT 1-0 Komorlar Komorlar DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Komorlar
1-2
AWAY Madagaskar
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Komorlar vs Madagaskar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madagaskar edged past Komorlar 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 34% / 33% — and on the day Madagaskar made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Komorlar had 63% of the ball to Madagaskar's 37%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Komorlar had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Komorlar and 0.75 for Madagaskar.

What was the final score of Komorlar vs Madagaskar?

Komorlar 1-2 Madagaskar in the World Cup Qualifiers on 08/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Komorlar vs Madagaskar?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Komorlar 33%, draw 34%, Madagaskar 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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