Aguila 1-3 Luis Angel Firpo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 8 Dec 2025

📅08/12/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.64/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.66
+45% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -37%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
17.11.2025 Aguila Aguila 3-3 HT 3-2 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
14.09.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
07.04.2025 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 2-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
10.02.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
23.11.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 2-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
16.09.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 1-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo beat Aguila 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Luis Angel Firpo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aguila and 1.50 for Luis Angel Firpo.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Aguila 1-3 Luis Angel Firpo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 08/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Aguila 34%, draw 30%, Luis Angel Firpo 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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