Aguila 3-3 Luis Angel Firpo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 17 Nov 2025

📅17/11/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.78
Over 2.5
61%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.75
No
34%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
52%
-13.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
48%
+13.2pp
66%
BTTS Yes
53%
+12.5pp
34%
BTTS No
47%
-12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguila EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.28/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/1.54
+13% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguila
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Luis Angel Firpo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
14.09.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
07.04.2025 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 2-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
10.02.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
23.11.2024 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 2-0 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
16.09.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 1-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
12.02.2024 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-1 HT 1-1 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguila and Luis Angel Firpo shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 3-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aguila and 1.33 for Luis Angel Firpo.

What was the final score of Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Aguila 3-3 Luis Angel Firpo in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 17/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Aguila 36%, draw 25%, Luis Angel Firpo 39%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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