Inter Miami 1-0 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.69
6+ Goals
11%
7.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.05
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1
11%
4.37
X/2
10%
10.15
X/X
15%
6.18
2/1
7%
19.95
2/2
8%
7.37
2/X
6%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.94/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.55
+31% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
424 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 80%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
13.1 Crosses 16.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Charlotte
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.01 xG 0.89
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
505 Passes 333
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
04.07.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 1-2 HT 1-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
22.10.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
19.10.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-2 HT 1-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
12.08.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-0 HT 2-0 Charlotte Charlotte CONLK
17.07.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-2 HT 0-2 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
1-0
AWAY Charlotte
0.66 xG 0.72
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 13
324 Passes 427
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
5 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 41
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami squeezed past Charlotte 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Inter Miami as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Inter Miami had 43% of the ball to Charlotte's 57%, shots finished 4-9, expected goals 0.66 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Inter Miami and 1.17 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Charlotte?

Inter Miami 1-0 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 50%, draw 26%, Charlotte 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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