San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Jose Earthquakes v Minnesota United — Team-Based Signals
San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
1-1
HT 1-1
Minnesota United
ABD
2-0
HT 0-0
Minnesota United
ABD
1-0
HT 1-0
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Minnesota United — Actual Match Statistics
Minnesota United nicked a narrow win over San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Minnesota United found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 73% of the ball to Minnesota United's 27%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.38 to 2.25.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Minnesota United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.17 for Minnesota United.
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United?
San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Jose Earthquakes win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 37%, draw 27%, Minnesota United 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.