Minnesota United 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.9
2-3 Goals
36%
2.18
4-5 Goals
29%
2.47
6+ Goals
15%
4.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
17%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.0pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.7pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.79/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.79
-7% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
396 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 81%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
20.6 Crosses 15.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minnesota United
1W-4D-1L
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.73 xG 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
352 Passes 325
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-1 HT 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
03.09.2023 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 HT 1-1 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
02.10.2022 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 2-0 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
20.03.2022 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-0 HT 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
18.08.2021 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 HT 1-1 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
04.07.2021 Minnesota United Minnesota United 2-2 HT 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minnesota United
2-0
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
2.03 xG 1.46
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 8
357 Passes 295
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minnesota United beat San Jose Earthquakes 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Minnesota United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Minnesota United had 53% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 47%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 2.03 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Minnesota United and 1.17 for San Jose Earthquakes.

What was the final score of Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Minnesota United 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 53%, draw 24%, San Jose Earthquakes 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minnesota United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Minnesota United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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