San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Jose Earthquakes v Minnesota United — Team-Based Signals
San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
1-1
HT 1-1
Minnesota United
ABD
2-0
HT 0-0
Minnesota United
ABD
1-0
HT 1-0
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
1-1
HT 1-1
Minnesota United
ABD
San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Minnesota United — Actual Match Statistics
Minnesota United nicked a narrow win over San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Minnesota United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 53% of the ball to Minnesota United's 47%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.58 to 2.05 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Minnesota United's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Minnesota United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.00 for Minnesota United.
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United?
San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Minnesota United in the USA - Major League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Jose Earthquakes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 38%, draw 25%, Minnesota United 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes) went the other way.