Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 Aguila — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 9 Mar 2026

📅09/03/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.8pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.0pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.4pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luis Angel Firpo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguila EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.03/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.13
-17% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luis Angel Firpo
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Aguila
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
14.12.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 0-1 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
08.12.2025 Aguila Aguila 1-3 HT 0-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
17.11.2025 Aguila Aguila 3-3 HT 3-2 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
14.09.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
07.04.2025 Aguila Aguila 3-1 HT 2-1 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo ELSAL
10.02.2025 Luis Angel Firpo Luis Angel Firpo 2-0 HT 0-0 Aguila Aguila ELSAL
POST-MATCH Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luis Angel Firpo squeezed past Aguila 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 29%) promised a tight game; Luis Angel Firpo found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luis Angel Firpo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Luis Angel Firpo and 1.33 for Aguila.

What was the final score of Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila?

Luis Angel Firpo 1-0 Aguila in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 09/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luis Angel Firpo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Luis Angel Firpo 37%, draw 33%, Aguila 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Luis Angel Firpo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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